Back Spread Strategy as a Proxy for Black Swan Event Benefits

26 March 2026
5 min read
Back Spread Strategy as a Proxy for Black Swan Event Benefits
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When we are creating the strategy, traders look at what has happened in the past. Sometimes they go for trend-following strategies and may deploy different indicators, such as moving averages or techniques like Dow theory, to figure out the direction. Also,  traders who like to pursue mean-reversion and trading may go for option-writing strategies to take advantage of theta decay. 

However, in both cases, the trader looks to the past to gauge what may happen in the future. But only a few sophisticated traders build Strategies for what is unlikely to happen. The back spread strategy is actually this kind of strategy, which is based on Black Swan events

What Is a Back Spread?

Let us first define what a Black Swan event is. A Black Swan event is highly unlikely; however, if it occurs, it can lead to significant movements or losses. It is interesting to note that blacks on events actually happen quite a few times, especially in the stock market. This is because the stock market has high Kurtosis, leading to more than expected Black Swan events.

Now, let us define what a backspread strategy is. Back spread is an option strategy in which the trader sells more options at one Strike price. And buys more lots at another strike.

The most common versions are:

  • Call ratio back spread (bullish volatility expansion)

  • Put ratio back spread (bearish volatility expansion)

Let us take the example of the put ratio backspread strategy. Let us assume that the stock is trading at ₹100, and the expiry we are going to trade is the same-month expiry. Now, the strategy is just to short one lot of 100 put options. And we are going to buy two lots of 90 put options. Here is the initiation

Leg

Strike

Action

Premium (₹)

Cash Flow

Put

100

Sell 1

6

+6

Put

90

Buy 2

2 each

-4

Net

     

+2 Credit

The strategy gives us a net credit of ₹2. Hence, this reduces the cost of tail exposure.

Now, let us see different scenarios at expiry. 

Case 1: The stock has gone up to ₹105

Component

Value

100 Put

0

2 × 90 Puts

0

Net Option Payoff

0

Initial Credit

+2

Total Profit

+2

Case 2: The stock has reduced to ₹95

Component

Value

100 Put

5 loss

2 × 90 Puts

0

Net Option Payoff

-5

Initial Credit

+2

Total P&L

-3

The first two cases show a moderate rise or moderate fall. As can be seen by the pay, the profit and loss are also very moderate.

Case 3: The stock has dropped to 80, which is a sharp drop

Component

Value

100 Put

20 loss

2 × 90 Puts

10 × 2 = 20 gain

Net Option Payoff

0

Initial Credit

+2

Total Profit

+2

Case 4: The stock is at 70, which is a black swan event

Component

Value

100 Put

30 loss

2 × 90 Puts

20 × 2 = 40 gain

Net Option Payoff

+10

Initial Credit

+2

Total Profit

+12

Here is the summary:

Stock Price at Expiry

Total P&L

₹105

+2

₹100

+2

₹95

-3

₹90

-8 (Max Loss Zone Approx)

₹80

+2

₹70

+12

₹60

+22

As we can see, the structure is able to achieve the following:

This creates:

  • If there is a very small movement, then the profit and loss is limited
  • If the moment is high, then the profit accelerates
  • Finally, if there is a Black Swan event, there is positive convexity and long-tail exposure. This means that the strategy actually makes money when there is a Black Swan event

When To Trade the Back Spread Strategy

The strategy performs well when the following happens:

  • The volatility is relatively low when the strategies are entered. 
  • The tail risk is relatively underpriced. 
  • The trader is expecting a good chance of a systemic shock or a Black Swan event. 
  • There is probably some macro uncertainty or some news that can shake up the market
  • The ideal time is when the move is fast, violent and volatility-driven

The strategy does not perform well in the following cases:

  • If the market is moving slowly, then the long strikes will lose money. 
  • If the volatility does not expand exponentially, then the strategy will also be loss-making
  • If the volatility is already high, it is best not to enter the strategy.

Comparing Back Spread vs Long Put

Here is the comparison between the back spread and the long put strategy:

Feature

Long Put

Put Ratio Back Spread

Structure

Buy 1 Put

Sell 1 Higher-Strike Put + Buy 2 Lower-Strike Puts

Initial Cash Flow

Net Debit (premium paid)

Small Debit, Zero Cost, or Net Credit (depending on strikes)

Maximum Loss

Limited to premium paid

Limited but occurs in the intermediate price zone

Tail Event Benefit

Linear downside gain

Accelerating (convex) downside gain

Convexity

Positive

Strongly positive beyond the lower strike

Performance in Mild Decline

Performs well

May enter loss zone

Performance in Sharp Crash

Strong gains

Very strong gains (convex acceleration)

Time Decay Impact

Negative Theta (always decaying)

Mixed Theta (can benefit initially if structured well)

Volatility Sensitivity

Long Vega

Net Long Vega (often stronger in extreme moves)

Capital Efficiency

Higher cost

Lower upfront cost for tail exposure

Complexity

Simple

Moderate (multi-leg and payoff zone awareness needed)

Best Use Case

Direct hedge

Cheap convex tail hedge

Risk Profile

Clean and predictable

Conditional with a defined loss zone

Conclusion

A back spread is a strategy that actually capitalises on black swan events. As we know, markets can experience crashes, liquidity shocks, and policy surprises. While most traders suffer during those moments, a back spread strategy allows you to participate in the convex side of chaos. 

However, as with any strategy, it is not designed to win every month. However, they can act as insurance and make a profit when the markets are really hurting traders. The strategy leverages option convexity.

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